Showing posts with label Top 20 Prospects. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Top 20 Prospects. Show all posts

Thursday, June 4, 2009

Sean Keogh's Top 20 OHL Players for the 2009 NHL Entry Draft

2009 Top 20 OHL Prospects
by Sean Keogh

I promised Brock (Ed: Brock Otten at ohlprospects.blogspot.com) that I would submit my own attempt at an OHL-based draft preview, and the fulfillment of such a promise is what follows. However I would like to be clear that that my viewings of some Western conference teams were limited. As a result I have to admit that on a couple of players near the end of my list, part of the basis for my evaluation of them comes from second party information, particularly Brock himself.

To further preface this piece, it is important to note that my approach was to try and offer my perspective on the skills, styles and potential of the players. This blog being the resource that it is already has much of the statistical information about these players, everything from position to vitals to point production. Therefore I felt that in order to allow for more complete and substantive commentary on each player, I did not include much of that. Moreover, my intent was not so much to provide a fixed ranking of players, and certainly not to predict the order in which these players will go, because at points I feel some players are almost interchangeable, and at other points there are drop-offs.

1) John Tavares

I will readily admit that I am in the camp with those who have concerns about John Tavares’ ability to be a true impact player at the next level. His scoring ability and hockey sense need no description or introduction, and there is little reason to doubt he will put up points at the next level. However, I have concerns about his skating, his ability to produce off the rush and his potential to develop an all-round game. Certainly watching Dany Heatley in Ottawa, there are significant similarities between the two, and no team would turn down the kind of production a player like Heatley gives the Senators year after year. However Heatley is not a well-rounded scorer or a true creator and I wonder if Tavares will struggle in that way as well. A question I come back to as well is whether Tavares is better suited to the wing than center as an NHLer. If my evaluation of his skill set and the style of play I think he will play at the next level is fair, that Tavares is more of a natural finisher and less a dominant puck-carrier, he is better suited on the wing. On the other hand, if Tavares sticks as a center, he will need to be more of a distributor and creator to be effective down the middle, which also means being a more assertive player in all three zones. All of that is not to be taken as a criticism of Tavares himself. I personally do not buy a lot into the questions of his character because of a lacklustre playoff performance, rather I simply see his skill set as being limited in some ways, but he is certainly worthy of the high praise and hype he has received.

2) Matt Duchene

Many of those who focus on the flaws of Tavares seem to, almost as an equal and opposite reaction, promote the strengths and assets of Matt Duchene, and there is little doubt that Duchene’s rising stock is at least partially tied to the question marks attaching themselves to Tavares. In my case however, I am not leading the Duchene fan club either, though I certainly like him as a player. I do not doubt he is legitimately worthy of being a top five pick this year. He has a wide range of skills, including impressive all-round skating ability, good offensive ability and a mature awareness in all three zones. That being said, I am not quite as enthusiastic about his top end potential as some. Every two-way OHL center projected to go in the top five of the draft is inevitably compared to Steve Yzerman or perhaps Joe Sakic, and Duchene is no different. For me I see some Stephen Weiss is Duchene though, a good all-round player who was an Yzerman-type player in the OHL, but I never felt was a truly dynamic offensive prospect. I see a lot of Duchene in Weiss, who is a good young NHL player, but not capable of impacting the game the way his more-maligned but also more highly touted 2001 draft-mate Jason Spezza can in the NHL. Obviously I see no reason to doubt that Duchene will be a very good player, nor does anybody else. However, I can not rank him ahead of Tavares without being sold on him as a potential all-star level scorer.

3) Ryan Ellis

To say Ryan Ellis’ last twelve months of hockey have been amazing would still not do his accomplishments justice. Everything he has touched has turned to Gold, both for him and his team. It is also a good time to be a dynamic offensive defenceman, thanks in large part to the Mike Green factor, a most common comparison for and potential justification of the selection of Ellis. One can be nearly certain that Green’s name will come up in TSN’s instant analysis after Ellis is drafted in Montreal. Offensively-speaking, Ellis has almost all of the tools. He is a good skater, outstanding puck-handler, smooth passer and has an impressively lethal shot from the point, perfectly complemented by off the charts instincts. However, the disagreement on Ellis stems from concerns about his size and defensive play. I have to admit I have mixed feelings about such concerns. On the one hand he is a small player, and does not really play much larger than his size. He does not compensate for a lack of size with outstanding lower body strength or a great sense of timing physically. While that could come with time and work, it will be no easy task for Ellis to turn himself in to a well-rounded rearguard. I am not convinced he will ever be more than a powerplay quarterback and offensive specialist; however, it is possible he goes in the top ten if a team is convinced he will be.

4) Calvin de Haan

It is somewhat curious to me that de Haan has not firmly found a place as a project first round pick by this point in the year. After his performance after Tavares and Del Zotto left Oshawa, and particularly his strong turn at the U18s, I see plenty of reason to move him in to the back half of the first round. The natural, inescapable comparison for de Haan as an undersized offensive blueliner is to the aforementioned Ellis, but I see them differently. De Haan is not as dynamic or as pure an offensive player as Ellis, and therefore his impact upside is lesser as well. However I believe strongly in his all-round awareness, patience and poise, and believe that he has better and safer pick to be a complete defenceman. His size is a limiting factor, and no doubt it will take de Haan some time to upgrade his strength, but the big steps he has taken over the last year give me reason to believe he has room to improve in that area. Although de Haan’s upside is not as an impact player, and he is not going to be compared to Mike Green, I do think he has the potential to be a solid puck-moving rearguard for a long time, and with the premium placed on such players, I would have no hesitations selecting him in last third of the first round. If Brock did not also have him at fourth, I might wonder if my Ottawa-area bias was getting in the way of things, but obviously that is not the only reason to be high on de Haan.

5) Peter Holland

My list deviates from Brock’s at this point, and it appears Hockey Canada and I have different views as well on Peter Holland. At mid-season having Holland ahead of Kadri and Kassian would have been an easier sell, but I will do my best to explain my view at this point. It is true that Holland so far OHLer has been something of an enigma in the OHL, at times passive, and other times very impressive, but certainly if nothing else inconsistent. While I do not dispute that Holland had a weak second half and can at times play a quiet perimeter game, I also see a lot in his tool box that I like. For one thing his combination of height and skating is noteworthy, and he moves with and without the puck with coordination and ease. I also like his hands, vision, offensive potential and all-round hockey sense. Where some see passive, indifferent play, I also see an intelligent young player who thinks on the ice. Over-thinking the game can cause inconsistency for many young players, and I suspect that relates well to Holland. I will not go as far as to say he has the kind of upside Jeff Carter has displayed, but I think they have similar skill sets and for that reason have Holland ahead of the next three forwards.

6) Nazem Kadri

It would seem as though ripping on Nazem Kadri has become something of a fad in recent months. Dating back to last season Kadri has been highly touted for this year’s draft, but he has seen his stock fall in the second half for a variety of reasons and in spite of an impressive playoff performance. Personally my concerns about Kadri are not related to his character or perceived selfish play, but rather the same questions Brock has addressed regarding his offensive upside. While Kadri has fancy moves and the occasional electrifying rush, those are not likely to work at the NHL level, and I am not convinced either that his offensive skills, specifically his hockey sense, will make him a consistent scorer at the next level. I actually see a fair bit of grit and effort in his game, and believe he could be a good role player at the next level, even a tweener second/third line type of guy, much like Antoine Vermette. For that reason I would not have him as a top ten pick, and would hesitate to take him over guys with more definite upside, but I would start looking at him around the middle of the first round, even if I can see how some might feel differently.

7) Ethan Werek

Joining de Haan on this list as an OHL rookie is Werek, a well-rounded forward with underrated upside. What I like about Werek is he has a versatile skill set. He can play center or wing, power or finesse, playmaker or finisher, although he is a master of none. In Kingston he performed better on the wing and I think his true potential is as a complete complimentary winger on a scoring line, kind of as a cross between Chris Kunitz and Mike Knuble. Werek’s skating is definitely his weakness, but I like his stride and see room for improvement. He is capable of making plays with the puck and on the rush; he simply needs to work on his acceleration, which is not surprising for a player who is one year removed from Junior A. While he is not flashy like Kadri or powerful like Kassian or smooth like Holland, I like his all-round combination and the fact he has a lot of elements in his game and was productive at the OHL level on a garbage team and at the U18s in a different style of game.

8) Zack Kassian

I appreciate that slotting Kassian here is likely the hardest ranking to justify. To some he is the third best available OHLer after the obvious two, and to those who value power forward prospects highly he is an exciting young player. Part of the reason I rank him here is because I do not fall in to the latter group. There is no doubt that Kassian has NHL size and strength, and that he has the potential to play a power game on more than a fourth line. He goes to the net, cycles the puck well and has some finish. However, I have serious concerns with not only his skating but his ability to create offence with the puck and on the fly. At the U18s, when the pace was quicker, the opponent more talented than the OHL, he seemed to have very little utility offensively other than as a big body down low. In the NHL, this would limit the number of systems where he could really have an impact. Now that is certainly not a useless skill, and Hall of Famers have made careers out of being exceptional in that area, but it is the reason I have Kassian behind the three forwards ahead of him, although any reconfiguration of them can be solidly justified in my opinion.

9) Ryan O’Reilly

It must be said that Ryan O’Reilly won me over at the U18s. Previously I saw a player with average size and talent and below average skating, but his intangibles shone through clearly to me at the tournament. There is little O’Reilly is not able or at least willing to do on the ice. He can score, hit, play defence, win faceoffs, kill penalties and in general play in almost any situation. At the next level, I do not see big offensive potential, but would be surprised if he does not make the NHL in some capacity. The limiting factor with O’Reilly is his skating. Not only is he not that quick, but his stride is technically weak, leaving him without much room to improve his power, acceleration, balance or agility. At the OHL and U18 level he can keep up, but it would take a lot of work to get his skating to the level where he can unlock any greater potential he may have. The natural counter-argument is that a guy like Mike Richards kind of did just that, improving his once average OHL skating and below average mechanics enough to make him a great NHL player with deceptive speed, but that is far, far easier said than done. I would not be shocked if O’Reilly slips in to the first round, but he is best suited as an early second rounder in my opinion.

10) Alex Hutchings

The only other player I firmly believe is worthy of a top two round selecting is Hutchings, the underrated and undersized Barrie forward. My confidence in Hutchings comes from the fact I like his skating for a smaller player. No doubt he is a good offensive player who buzzes around and is willing to go in to the tough areas despite limited size. However, every year there are several undersized forwards available for the draft from all different junior leagues and only a few separate themselves from the rest. What Hutchings has going for him is a good low drive, and a stride and puck-carrying style that allows him to use his lower center of gravity nicely. This kind of allows him to bump off defenders instead of shying away from them, an important asset for an undersized player without elite offensive skills. That does not mean that Hutchings can or will be able to necessarily play that game at the next level, that will require continued focus on adding strength and power to his frame, but I like his chances if he can do that.

11) Edward Pasquale

This is the first player I will have to admit I do not have a well-developed view of, and by extension not a prospect I have a strong opinion on. What I do know is that Pasquale is a big, technical goaltender who makes the saves he needs to but lacks the athleticism to make a lot of saves he should not. He is coming off a very strong year on an average team, and the fact he has already achieved success at the OHL level is an important step for a young goalie. Between his size, maturity and solid technical skills, he is a good goalie prospect in a draft weak at that position, so it is entirely possible he is the first tender taken in Montreal. Whether he has significant upside as a starting goaltender is the question that teams will have in deciding just how high they take him.

12) Taylor Doherty

I noted above that personally I do not have the common preference for power forwards, and the same would be true for jumbo-sized blueliners. Case in point, it already looks like I underestimated Tyler Myers last year. Although Taylor Doherty is not Myers, and he is not a first round prospect at this point, I do actually like him as a prospect. Playing on the same bad team as Werek in Kingston, Doherty had an up and down season, but the tools are unmistakable. He is extremely tall and has room to fill out, and has some good skating ability for a player his size. Laterally he struggles, but straight line he moves fairly well, which suggests that there is room for improvement in his skating in all directions. While he does not handle the puck like a grenade, he really does not have much offensive skill to speak of, which is why I like him to an extent. He projects very simply as a stay-at-home guy at the next level, and he could be a good one with some patience and refinement. I am surprised he is ranked as low as he is by Central Scouting to be honest.

13) Matt Clark

Matt Clark is an interesting case of a player who has simply kept improving since being drafted in to the OHL. A late round pick in to the OHL, and a late birthday in 1990 who narrowly missed being eligible last year, Clark was an 18 year old OHL rookie this year. That his draft stock steadily rose throughout the year is a testament to how well he played for Brampton. What Clark has going for him is size and mobility. At 6’3” and over 200lbs, he can handle big forwards, and his mobility allows him to cope with quicker ones as well. Clark also has some offensive skills and a willingness to jump in to the play at times, which suggests he has some all-round potential. In his own zone though, he needs some work with positioning and general awareness, as he can get caught scrambling at times. I am also not quite sure what kind of blueliner he projects to be at the next level. Although he has some interesting tools, I am not sure exactly what his niche will be because he is not particularly gifted offensively and is not overly refined defensively. Whereas a team picking Doherty knows exactly the kind of prospect they are working with, I am not so sure Clark is the same way.

14) Scott Stajcer

It has become fairly common for a handful of OHL goalies to be taken in the first three rounds each year, and Scott Stajcer is a decent bet to do the same. Unheralded coming in to the season, Stajcer managed to wrestle the starting job away from Tyler Beskowranny, an impressive feat considering the talent level of the Dallas Stars second rounder from 2008. Style-wise Stajcer is a bit more raw than Pasquale, showing similar size and a bit more athleticism, but also more inconsistency, which is a challenge in evaluating goalies. It is certainly not unusual, and perhaps even quite natural, for first or second year junior players to struggle with their consistency. However, what often separates the good goalies from the bad, the Steve Masons from the Craig Hilliers, is improving or outgrowing that consistency. An NHL team who was able to see more of Owen Sound may be convinced it was really simply the predictable ups and downs of a player in his first complete OHL season, and for that reason I would not be surprised in the least if Stajcer went fairly high.

15) Michael Latta

I would say that Michael Latta was a favourite of mine coming in to this year, and to an extent that is still the case. As a 16 year old he flashed nifty dangles and some nice grit, and early this year seemed to take a major step forward offensively. Not knowing the reasons for his surprising trade from Ottawa, I am not docking him on those grounds, but my doubts about Latta have grown as I have focussed increasingly on his skating. While he has nice moves and some offensive potential, he too often has to make extra moves or throw away the puck because his skating does not allow him to gain separation or create space. He cycles well, goes to the net and plays with some grit, but his size does not project as a true banger at the next level. His skating is not doomed by awful technique, so the potential for improved power and acceleration is there, and if he does that his NHL potential increases dramatically. There is some offence and some grit there, and while he will never impose physically, he has a solid stocky build and I would say his size is decent. I would consider him as a late second rounder, and think he would be a good third round pick for any team.

16) Jesse Blacker

I saw Windsor play several times this year, probably the most of any team other than Ottawa, and I still feel I do not have a great sense of what Jesse Blacker is capable of. Part of the reason for that is certainly the fact that after the trade deadline he was probably the sixth blueliner on the eventual Memorial Cup champions. In fact I found myself looking for him at times for just that reason. What I saw was a decently sized blueliner with nice skating ability and solid defensive positioning. Occasionally he showed some puck-rushing ability, but overall his offensive instincts, and in fact his involvement offensively in general, was average. In his own zone Blacker seemed to be fairly solid for a young blueliner, and I thought he improved as the season went along. Perhaps an important question is what role Blacker will play going forward with Windsor. Although Kwiet and Shutron will certainly graduate, with Ellis, Cam Fowler and Mark Cundari in the fold, will his offensive game be allowed to develop. I wonder what his upside is in his own zone as well, but there are some nice tools there, and for that reason he is an intriguing potential third rounder.

17) Jordan Szwarz

I have to admit I wish I saw more of Szwarz because in my limited viewings, I did not get a good read on the offensive skill others like Brock are convinced he has. While he bounced around in the offensive zone and reminded me a bit of Hutchings, in my viewings he did not create a ton. Moreover, I did not see a particularly well-rounded player, nor does his size suggest he has much potential in that regard. Therefore I am limited in what I can offer on Szwarz, and while I have seen hints at his offensive potential, he certainly never showed to me what others believe he is capable of doing. Of course, that seems to also be the knock on him, because he would have scored a fair bit more than he did if consistency was not a concern. I rank him here because I believe the upside of available prospects begins to drop off at this point.

18) Taylor Beck

Taylor Beck is a hard player for me to evaluate. As someone who is very focussed on skating, particularly the technical aspects, Beck is not my favourite prospect available. I have serious concerns that his skating, awkward as it is, and already average at best in the OHL, limits him a fair bit. On the other hand, he does have good size and decent offensive skill, particularly hand-eye-coordination. The question is whether or not Beck will be one of those players who does not look pretty, but nonetheless seems to get to where he needs to be in order to be effective. If I saw more top end offensive skills I would be more inclined towards the latter, but I am not sure that is the case. Although he is a hard working offensive forward, he does not seem particularly well developed as an all-round player. Beck is neither a strong defensive player, nor a bruising physical specimen, despite decent size and some willingness to use it to protect the puck offensively. His skating would be less of an issue if he projected better as a third line player at the next level, but I am not entirely satisfied of that yet. A team will likely draft him in the third round, maybe fourth, and I think will see him as a bit of a project, but it is always easier to be patient with those types of players if the effort level is already there.

19) Marcus Foligno

I have mixed feelings on Marcus Foligno, particularly because it is hard not to compare him to his brother. On the one hand he was generally unimpressive when I saw him this year, no matter the game or venue. He has good size, great height and shows good effort and board work, but he also showed little pure offensive talent and his skating concerned me. His stride is stiff, his agility is below average and he lacks acceleration at this point in time. On the other hand, I also appreciate that he is a very young player, almost a year younger than Nick was when he was drafted, and that he could very well improve in a lot of ways like his brother has. Nick has steadily improved his goal scoring, stickhandling and particularly skating since his rookie season in the OHL, and if Marcus can get on a similar curve, he could be a steal for whoever takes him. I do not really think he has the scoring line upside some believe Nick has, but I do think his bloodlines and raw physical skills make him an intriguing prospect.

20) Kyle Clifford

I think the U18s did a lot for Kyle Clifford’s stock heading in to the draft. At that tournament he thrived as a bang and crash role player, and showed enough to suggest he has the potential to play that role at the NHL level. He has good size, goes to the net, is a strong forechecker and throws his weight around with appreciable enthusiasm. Moreover, he seems to be on an upward development swing. Although his 16 goals this year were not stellar, when compared to his one single goal as a rookie last year, it is more notable. I do not see much in the way of skill or creativity that will translate to the NHL level, but size and grit often goes higher in NHL drafts than one would expect. He could very well go higher than a few players above him, but to me he is simply a good potential role player, a bit like Cody Bass a few years ago.

Honourable Mention:

Phil Varone : I was tempted to include Varone in my top 20, and even considered having him a fair bit higher. His impressive playoff performance should have raised his stock, although Central Scouting dropped him in their final rankings. Varone is a good offensive player who should be a very successful OHLer, but there is fair reason to doubt how he projects at the next level.

Tyler Randell : Part of me thinks Randell could end up being a late round find for some team. He has some offensive skill, decent size and was more productive when given more ice time in Kitchener, so it is entirely possible he breaks out when Kitchener takes off as anticipated next year. That being said, when I saw him he seemed intriguing and frustrating at best, lazy and undisciplined at worst.

William Wallen : Everybody has guys they cheer for a bit more just because they hope their support will help that underdog succeed, and few players fit that mold better than Wallen. Not only did he almost die this year, a near-tragedy detailed on this blog already, but Wallen as an undersized waterbug type of player, already has obstacles to overcome as a hockey player. I like Wallen’s skill level, tenacity, and technically-strong skating stride. With more lower body strength and improved skating he could be a steal.

Michael Zador : Hockey Canada can operate in strange ways, and they seemed to do just that picking Zador as the starter for the U18s and ignoring Stajcer altogether. The result for Zador was mixed, in my opinion. He was praised for putting up good numbers and at times making big stops, but I thought he looked shaky throughout the tournament. Some goals were weak and some of the big stops more impressive than they had to be. Jake Allen he is not, but he could go quite high on draft day because of the U18s regardless.

SK

Monday, February 9, 2009

Top 20 Senators Prospects (Mid-season Ranking)

by Sean Keogh (with additional content as noted)
All statistics as of February 9th, 2009.
All height/weight data courtesy of hockeydb.


1. Erik Karlsson

Senators Player Page
Frölunda Indians Player Page
HockeyDB Player Page

Defense - Landsbro, Sweden - 5'11", 165 lbs - DOB 1990
Drafted 1st round, 15th overall 2008

2008-09 Frolunda SEL 37GP 2G 4A 6P 10PIM

Karlsson is the top Senators prospect because he is the only player on this list who is anywhere near a stud. Although consistent success in the Swedish Elite League has eluded him, in the past 9 months Karlsson has been the top defenseman at both the U18s and U20s, which is no small feat. His overall offensive skills are outstanding. Although not a burner, he is a good all-round skater; his passing is perhaps the best in the organization already; and he has a great shot including a promising one-timer. Despite needing more time to mature physically, he could probably quarterback an NHL powerplay very soon, if not now. Lower body strength is a major weakness for now, and he does not have a build that suggests it will ever be an asset, but at almost 6’0” now his height is not a huge drawback. What he lacks in strength he makes up for in outstanding hockey sense, including great timing and body control that allows him to play physical hockey and even throw open ice hits. The only other aspect of Karlsson’s game that needs work is simplification. Whether it’s breaking out of his zone or walking the line on the powerplay, Karlsson needs to find a better balance between creativity and safety. With his hockey sense and natural gifts though, that should come with time so long as he remains coachable and his moxie does not turn into stubbornness.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (1) Has the ability to be a tremendous PP QB. I don't know if he'll ever be a top flight overall defenseman, but I'm very happy the Sens went with pure talent on this one. Unlike others, I wouldn't mind seeing him come to North America, even if it's a sheltered role in the NHL, because the biggest thing holding him back is his strength, which won't improve a lot in Sweden. Good comparison might be Brian Campbell.
Zamboner: (1) Top-paring D-man and PP QB - Great vision and poise with the puck. Elite passing and shot. Can take too many risks, and needs to be better when defending. Also needs to bulk up considerably. Will probably spend one more year with Frolunda in the SEL, where he will hopefully get more ice-time. Expect to see Karlsson in Ottawa in 2010-2011, unless they convince him to play in the AHL or he blows us away next training camp.
armani: (1)
Indrew: (1) Projects to be comparable to Ozolinsh in the 90's
Krazy Tea: (1) Has proven he can dominate at the junior level on the world stage, needs to take the next step and prove that he can play with men. Still a couple years away from being able to be a solid contributor at the NHL level IMO, hurrying him to the NHL based on need would be detrimental to his development. Has the ability to be a #2 top pairing offensive contributor and should lock in as second pairing PP offensive stud at worst. Despite his size he eats up a ton of minutes on the PP/PK and even strength.
Theo Huxtable: (1) Karlsson was very impressive at the World Juniors for Sweden, having been selected as the best defenseman in the tournament. Karlsson is a very offensive-minded d-man - very adept at the first pass out of the zone and joining the rush. He has a hard and fairly accurate shot, and runs a power play with ease. Karlsson obviously has to bulk up to be able to graduate to the NHL level - he must also improve his awareness in his own end. Karlsson seemed to get beat to the outside fairly often during the WJC's. I fear that because of the Sens' lack of offensive defensemen, he may be rushed to the NHL next season.
moz: (1) The others have said it all, I will only add that he shows extreme self-assurance and is more than comfortable in the spotlight. He is lucid and eloquent in conversation with the media and shows a mature understanding of the game that belies his age. While he clearly needs physical development to compliment his tremendous skill, there is no question that his high hockey IQ and maturity will play an integral role in fashioning him into a dependable star player and leader not unlike his fellow countryman Daniel Alfredsson.


2. Brian Lee

Brian Lee

Senators Player Page
HockeyDB Player Page

Defense - Moorhead, MN - 6'3", 203 lbs - DOB 1987
Drafted 1st round, 9th overall 2005

2008-09 Binghamton Senators AHL 22GP 1G 7A 8P 28PIM
2008-09 Ottawa Senators NHL 27GP 1G 5A 6P 8PIM

Few prospects in Senators history have been as much maligned as Lee. The pale and soft-spoken blueliner has had an up and down career since the club used the 9th overall pick on him in 2005. Inconsistency plagued him at the University of North Dakota, and his early season struggles this year were cause for concern. Of late he is back on track and is hopefully in the NHL to stay. Lee has some things in common with Karlsson, in that he has good hockey sense and some nice offensive abilities. Although nowhere near as flashy or dynamic as Karlsson, Lee has good all-round mobility and moves the puck very effectively. His shot has improved, as has his strength, although he neither looks nor plays like a 6’3” NHL blueliner. There is some disagreement on his ceiling, as it is not as high as Karlsson’s, but he has all the tools to at least be a reliable top four rearguard, and soon.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (2) Obviously I'm higher on him than others, but he can be a really good overall defender once he fills out completely. While he may not be great at anything, he's really good at most, and his hockey sense is through the roof. He's still a project, and we won't be seeing a finished product for at least a few more years. A good comparison might be Teppo Numminen, as I have a feeling he'll never get the respect he deserves.
Zamboner: (NR) Deemed to have graduated from prospect rank.
armani: (2)
Indrew: (2) Projects to be comparable to Redden
Krazy Tea: (2) Up and down year hurt his rankings, has showed flashes of brilliance but needs to show it with some consistency. I don't really believe he can be an elite top pairing guy, but again a decent 3/4 stud. He will eat up a ton of minutes, not sure if he can translate his offensive game to the NHL as well. But he is playing a more consistent defensive game since his second call up and there is still room for development at his age.
Theo Huxtable: (2) I think Lee will turn out to be a solid NHL defenseman, but not spectacular. He'll probably max out as a 3/4 d-man at the NHL level. He skates well, is a very good passer, plays the game intelligently, but has two glaring weaknesses - his shot is well below average (perhaps even poor), and he doesn't play a very physical brand of hockey. I think Lee will turn out to be a solid but unspectacular pro.
moz: (2) The mention of Wade Redden leaves a bad taste in the mouths of many Senators fans, and any favourable comparison to him is tainted by Redden's poor final years in Ottawa. But Lee projects as the Redden who provided a decade of solid, well-rounded if not astronomical play. Perhaps another fair comparison would be a slightly more involved Filip Kuba, only with a physical edge. He can quietly play in all situations and shock you when he leads the team in ice time. Lee isn't flashy and has no outstanding attributes, but he will be a perfect compliment to Karlsson. In his brief time in the NHL, he has shown himself capable of shutting down skilled players, while it will take some more physical maturing to contain grinders or power forwards.


3. Brian Elliott

Brian Elliott

Senators Player Page
HockeyDB Player Page

Goaltender - Newmarket, ON - 6'2", 198 lbs - DOB 1985
Drafted 9th round, 291st overall 2003

2008-09 Binghamton Senators AHL 30GP 18W 2.31GAA 0.926sv% 2SO
2008-09 Ottawa Senators NHL 11GP 5W 2.47GAA 0.912sv%
If Lee’s upside is a bit hard to peg, it would be foolish to concretely do the same for this overachiever. Elliott’s story is already well established, going from the 291st selection in 2003 to goalie of the future in Ottawa, and the more success he has at the NHL level, the closer to folk tale it will become. A big, intelligent and hard-working goaltender with an exemplary mental make-up, Elliott has conquered every challenge he has faced so far, rising to the top of the ranks in both the NCAA and AHL. Although he is not an elite athlete and needs to work on his rebound control and consistency, he has not stopped improving since being drafted, so predicting what kind of NHL career he will have is at present hard to do.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (3) Self made, and I see him becoming a real solid #1 goaltender in this league. He made it this far on hard work, and will continue to stick because of that. Big, athletic, and willing to tweak his game to compete at any level. Has the mental game that you crave in a goaltender, and even in his short NHL stint, has shown an ability to make big saves for his team. Comparable to Ryan Miller.
Zamboner: (2) Starting goaltender - Impeccable work ethic and attitude. Is a student of the game, and therefore technically great. Could work on lateral movement and rebounds. With the Sens' lack of anything at the goalie position, he's likely an NHLer from here on out.
armani: (3)
Indrew: (3) Projects to be comparable to fellow U of W alum Mike Richter... maybe
Krazy Tea: (3) Not really sure yet what kind of goaltender he can be at the NHL, if he develops as he has previously through the NCAA and AHL then he could be a quality starter in the NHL.
Theo Huxtable: (3)
moz: (3) The others have said it all. A trifecta of necessities for goaltending excellence - technical and athletic abilities, a high level of competitiveness and a commitment to betterment. He has excelled at every level of competition despite fierce odds and low expectations. While it is unfair to bill him the future of the franchise, the Senators will give him every opportunity to fulfill just that role.


4. Ilya Zubov

Ilya Zubov

Senators Player Page
HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Chelyabinsk, Russia - 6'0", 201 lbs - DOB 1987
Drafted 4th round, 98th overall 2005

2008-09 Binghamton Senators AHL 36GP 12G 25A 37P 18PIM
2008-09 Ottawa Senators NHL 10GP 0G 2A 2P 0PIM

Few organizations would say that a former fourth round pick is not only their best forward prospect but in terms of upside arguably the best to come along in half a decade. Zubov is however a legitimate scoring line prospect on a team that has failed to produce one in too long. The Russian’s second AHL season has been his breakout, resulting in multiple call-ups to Ottawa. An all-round offensive winger with good skating ability, it is improved off-ice dedication and on-ice all-round play that has cemented his status as a key prospect for Ottawa.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (4) Perhaps the most talented forward prospect the Senators have had in years. Needs to be more assertive next time he comes up to the NHL, but has the talent and looks committed to staying in North America. Another off-season in Ottawa and he should get a good look next year, if not later this season. A good comparison might be Slava Kozlov.
Zamboner: (3) Top 6 forward - Great offensive awareness, stick-handling, and skating. Plays well defensively, and doesn't shy away from contact. Could probably further improve his conditioning, and be more assertive. Will likely be pushing for a full-time spot on the big club in 2009-2010.
armani: (5)
Indrew: (6) Projects to be comparable to Dvorak
Krazy Tea: (5) Putting up good numbers in the AHL after an off-season dedicated to conditioning. Has not carried his play into Ottawa yet could work on the defensive aspects of the game. Hopefully Clouston can get this Russian to bring it at the NHL level and round out his game. Top 6 all offense.
Theo Huxtable: (6) I think Zubov will either become a 2nd line offensive forward at the NHL level, or not make it to the NHL on a regular basis. Zubov has good speed, good offensive instincts, but lacks size. His AHL numbers are impressive this season - over a point-per-game pace - however, I wasn't overly impressed with his play for the Sens this season. He certainly didn't produce much at the NHL level (2 assists in 10 games), and he looked out of place at times in the defensive zone, unsure of what his assignment was. That being said, if he continues to work hard at the AHL level, hopefully he will be able to become a top 6 forward - the type of player the Sens need desperately to add to their NHL lineup.
moz: (5) He is progressing well and making significant improvements every year. He is a skilled player who can have an impact as a secondary player in the league. While his NHL future is not assured, if he continues along his current path he has a good chance. As others have noted he looked a little tentative in his time in Ottawa, but his skill and hockey sense were apparent on the rush and with a cycle. He doesn't of yet have the defensive ability or imposing physical style to have much of an impact outside the second line, so his offense will need to carry through at the NHL level or he may not find a role.


5. Peter Regin

Peter Regin

Senators Player Page
HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Herning, Denmark - 6'2", 198 lbs - DOB 1986
Drafted 3rd round, 87th overall 2004

2008-09 Binghamton Senators AHL 36GP 9G 14A 23P 26PIM
2008-09 Ottawa Senators NHL 6GP 1G 0A 1P 0PIM

The Senators have taken players from several unconventional hockey backgrounds. Although Regin was born and raised in Denmark, it was his three years with Timra IK in the Swedish Elite League that made him the prospect he is today. When he was drafted out of Denmark, Regin was so raw he was still using a stick so short it only went up to his belly button. His hockey sense and offensive skills were always there, but the rest of his game has really developed well. His skating is much better, he plays a mature and aware game in all three zones, and he is a potential second line center who has the utility and maturity to stick as a third liner otherwise.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (5) His intelligence stands out. He's solid offensively, but tremendous defensively for someone in their first year in North America. Once he bulks up, could become a decent 2nd line player, but great 3rd line guy. A more talented Chris Kelly seems like a decent comparison.
Zamboner: (4) Top 6 forward - Great awareness in both zones, and elite skating and stickhandling. Like Zubov, he plays in traffic. More of a playmaker than sniper. His height and lankiness give him room to bulk up considerably. Will likely be in the NHL full-time before the end of this year.
armani: (4)
Indrew: (4) Projects to be comparable to Ylonen
Krazy Tea: (4) Has looked like the best call-up from Bingo this year, playing a solid game in Bingo led the team in +/-. Excellent prospect at either end of the ice, plenty of dangles, great stick skills. Has translated his game to the NHL quite well, amazing back checker. Looks like a third liner with some offense maybe a top 6 guy with the right combinations.
Theo Huxtable: (5) I ranked Regin ahead of Zubov because I liked what I saw from Regin at the NHL level - he appears to be a more complete player then Zubov. Regin showed very well in his six games in the NHL - he is clearly a very smart player with an above average hockey IQ. Regin showed that he is not afraid to go into the corners and the dirty zones on the ice - he is clever with the puck along the boards and makes very good passes. I think Regin could improve his skating a bit, but looks to be a surefire NHL 3rd liner going forward.
moz: (4) He has rocketed up my rankings since seeing him in the NHL. He is incredibly poised, and patient. He seems to read the ice extremely well which makes him valuable at both ends of the ice. He has great skill but it is his anticipation and playmaking which make him so valuable - I too would rank him ahead of Zubov at this point. It seems the time in the SEL has done him a world of good, he plays like a player 5 years more experienced. A top-6 NHL future is absolutely within his grasp, perhaps as early as next year. I don't know that his point ceiling is especially high but I have a feeling he will contribute every night in some manner.


6. Patrick Wiercioch

Patrick Wiercioch

Senators Player Page
HockeyDB Player Page

Defense - Burnaby, BC - 6'3", 178 lbs - DOB 1990
Drafted 2nd round, 42nd overall 2008

2008-09 University of Denver NCAA 25GP 10G 13A 23P 18PIM

If the old adage that the year after being drafted is the most important in a prospect’s development is true in the least, this 2008 second rounder could not be progressing better. At this time a year ago Wiercioch was 6’2” and playing average hockey in the USHL. Now he is almost 6’5” and perhaps the top freshman in the NCAA, producing at a rate very rarely seen by an 18 year old blueliner. Offensively gifted and still very raw, Wiercioch has impressive offensive awareness and instincts. With another year or two at the University of Denver, he should be able to grow into his body and in turn improve his strength, skating and physical play.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (6) What he's doing is pretty amazing, but he's still pretty raw. Great offensive instincts, and the body and reach to be great defensively as well. While his potential is tough to pin down, the sky appears to be the limit for him.
Zamboner: (5) Top 4 D-man - Great outlet pass and knows how to advance a play and run the PP. Great shot and decent skating. Not bad defensively, which is a huge plus for an offensive D-man. Still growing, and will need to put a lot of weight on his frame. This could affect his skating, so he should probably continue working on it. Wiercioch will play at least one more year with DU, and will look to make the Canadian WJC squad in December 2009.
armani: (6)
Indrew: (5) Projects to be comparable to Mara, before the offense was lost
Krazy Tea: (6) Putting up huge numbers at Denver thus far, have to be careful and not get too excited though. Matt Carle put up similar if not better numbers during his stay at Denver. He has not panned out just yet in the NHL being trade bait more often then not, and is now playing in Philadelphia. That said Wiercioch has apparently shown a ton of talent, I won't talk about a prospect I haven't seen though. I'll leave his evaluation to SensGuy, but he should be a PP QB in Ottawa within 3-4 years.
Theo Huxtable: (4) I seem to be a bit higher on Wiercioch then some other contributors - for an 18 year-old freshman d-man to be producing at such a high rate in the NCAA, it would appear his ceiling is quite high and deserves a top 5 ranking at this time.


7. Jim O’Brien

Jim O'Brien

Senators Player Page
HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Maplewood, MN - 6'2", 200 lbs - DOB 1989
Drafted 1st round, 29th overall 2007

2008-09 Seattle Thunderbirds WHL 47GP 18G 26A 44P 39PIM

O’Brien is reminiscent of current Senators Antoine Vermette and Mike Fisher in that he is less than the sum of his parts. O’Brien has great size, strength and skating ability, but lacks the offensive awareness and creativity to project as a scoring line player. There is little reason to doubt he will play at the NHL level, but his upside appears lower than the players above him. He might be better served as a power winger considering his limitations.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (7) When he heads to Bingo next year, we'll get a better read on his offensive skills, but it doesn't look that great right now. Could be another Mike Fisher, which is hardly a bad thing, but with the Sens lack of talented forwards, would be lovely if he developed more of an offensive game.
Zamboner: (6) Great 3rd line winger - Big body that skates effortlessly. A decent passer that works his heart out every shift. He doesn't appear to have the offensive IQ the club hoped he'd develop, and this will likely limit him to the 3rd line. O'Brien will join Bingo next year, and may even push for a spot on the big club.
armani: (7)
Indrew: (7) Projects to be comparable to Fisher
Krazy Tea: (7) Was very hopeful for this prospect after he was drafted but hasn't shown very much to be excited about since. Doesn't seem like a huge offensive contributor, great shutdown guy. Once he gets to the AHL it will be easier to see what kind of player he really is. 3rd line checking forward.
Theo Huxtable: (7)
moz: (6) Definitely projects as a safe third line forward who might be able to chip in a bit of offense. While he has shown some decent offensive production in Seattle, I think his play in Minnesota is more reflective of what he could realistically contribute to an NHL franchise. Probably not worthy of his draft position, but his size, skating ability and work ethic should make him a decent contributor.


8. Zack Smith

Zack Smith

Senators Player Page
HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Medicine Hat, AB - 6'2", 202 lbs - DOB 1988
Drafted 3rd round, 79th overall 2008

2008-09 Binghamton Senators AHL 50GP 13G 17A 30P 83PIM
2008-09 Ottawa Senators NCAA 1GP 0G 0A 0P 0PIM

A classic late bloomer, Smith was passed over twice and now looks like a steal from last year’s third round. A late growth spurt and hard work largely account for the fact he now looks like a future NHL third liner instead of an overage WHLer and CIS-bound player. Although he likely lacks the skating and pure skill to be a scoring line player, Smith is a tough and gritty player with the nose for the net, who like O’Brien also might be better served on the wing.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (9) Seemed to benefit from playing in Binghamton with two highly skilled guys in Zubov and Shannon, but that's not a bad thing. Perhaps that shows he can be a good complementary guy on a skilled line. Probably needs more time in the AHL to fill out and refine his game.
Zamboner: (10) Great character and work ethic. He combines physical play with a scoring touch. His skating could also use some work.
armani: (10)
Indrew: (10) Projects to be comparable to Moss
Krazy Tea: (9) Playing pretty well in Bingo, will hopefully end with a 70 point season. Big character kid although it routinely seems he gets his ass kicked by the enforcers in the AHL, probably will change as he gets a little bigger. It seems he has this odd fighting style (at least to me) where he kind of dodges the punches for awhile, its pretty strange anyways. Plays hard every day and hopefully that will get him into Ottawa as a 3rd/4th line checker with the ability to score.
Theo Huxtable: (9) Smith is a good player with good size, decent hands and a nose for the net. Will stand up for his teammates and drop the gloves when needed. He really needs to work on his skating. From what I've seen, Smith will max out as a 3rd line two-way forward at the NHL level and play a physical style of game.
moz: (8) Echoing the others, he seems like a hard worker who has a good combination of abilities, offensive, defensive and physical. While I doubt his offensive knack will translate too much to the NHL, it is reassuring that he at least prospers when playing with skilled players, as opposed to other grinders who can look lost or a step behind. He can play on any of the bottom three lines and seems a pretty versatile young player. An NHL future is entirely within reach if he keeps up the work.


9. Mattias Karlsson

Mattias Karlsson

Senators Player Page
HockeyDB Player Page

Defense - Orebro, Sweden - 6'2", 220 lbs - DOB 1985
Drafted 4th round, 135th overall, 2003


2008-09 Binghamton Senators AHL 45GP 4G 25A 29P 28PIM

After being all but written off because of his inability to find a regular job in the Swedish Elite League for so long, Karlsson has broken out in a big way at the AHL this year. An all-star as a rookie, Karlsson is intriguing for his package of great size and legitimate offensive abilities. A lack of skating ability and overall decision-making could use work though, but he is no longer a forgotten prospect.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (10) For a big guy, he could stand to be a lot more physical, but that's not his game. Smooth offensively, and solid defensively. It appears his skating will be what holds him back.
Zamboner: (8) 5-6 D-man - Smart player in both zones. Is not the best skater, but has exceptional positioning and marking in his own end and advances the play with great passes. Is a big, big guy. The anti-Schubert may be able to steal the Schubert/Bell spot next year.
armani: (8)
Indrew: (8) Projects to be comparable to Kalinin
Krazy Tea: (11) Playing well in Bingo, can he bring his skating level up and play in the NHL? I don't think so.
Theo Huxtable: (10)
moz: (10) He's flown under the radar for quite a few years, but has arisen with a vengeance this season, taking advantage of the holes left in Binghamton's blueline with the recall of Bell and Lee. I think he could play on the Senators blueline this season and not cost them. The skating issue is a concern since the Senators defense might be the slowest, ploddingest blueline in the league, but if he can make up for it in other areas he might have an NHL future yet. It is important to remember that he is still young at 23 and plenty of improvement is possible.


10. Louie Caporusso

Louie Caporusso

Senators Player Page
HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Toronto, ON - 5'10", 185 lbs - DOB 1989
Drafted 3rd round, 90th overall 2007


2008-09 University of Michigan NCAA 30GP 22G 11A 33P 24PIM

Caporusso is the best of a group of mid-round offensive prospects in the club’s prospect pool. As a sophomore at the University of Michigan, he has been maybe the best goal scorer in all of the NCAA this year. Somewhat undersized and an underwhelming skater for a player his size, Caporusso has drawn comparisons to Mike Comrie, Mike Cammalleri and Nigel Dawes for being a small player who scores without being a speedy. Hard work on strength and power skating is a must for any player in this mold.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (8) Pure goal scorer. I'm not sure he'll make it at the NHL level, but there's certainly hope for him. If anything will hold him back, it will be his skating.
Zamboner: (7) Top 6 winger or BUST - Excellent offensive IQ, shot, and hands. A fiesty and pesky forechecker, who is way too small to carry over this trait to the big leagues. His offensive skill (20 goals in 28 games as a sophomore at UM) will either carry him in the NHL, or he'll bust.
armani: (9)
Indrew: (9) Projects to be comparable to Bochenski
Krazy Tea: (8) Another great Italian kid to play in Michigan, his last name translates as Russian Captain, I'm pretty sure he's involved with the mob so I won't say anything terrible about him. Not sure he can keep scoring goals at the professional level like he has in the NCAA but certainly there is room for optimism. Have to agree, top 6 or bust here.
Theo Huxtable: (8)


11. Tomas Kudelka


HockeyDB Player Page

Defense - Zlin, Czech Republic - 6'1", 176 lbs - DOB 1987
Drafted 5th round, 136th overall 2005


2008-09 Binghamton Senators AHL 49GP 6G 14A 20P 43PIM

Kudelka was a faller in the 2005 draft, dropping from a projected second round selection to the fifth round. He played well for two years in the WHL and has taken a step forward this season in Binghamton. Another step forward next year is vital.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (14) Much better this year than last. Hopefully he can continue the upward swing, but doubt he makes it to the NHL. Has really benefitted from Brendan Bell and Brian Lee staying in Ottawa most of the year.
Zamboner: (13)
armani: (13)
Indrew: (12)
Krazy Tea: (13) Having a better year don't know a lot about him though, don't see him taking it to the next level at this rate.
Theo Huxtable: (18)
moz: (13) Last year was a horrible year for him, but he seems back on track. He is not remarkable in anyway but might just drift into a bottom-pairing position on an NHL team in two or three years time, I don't believe that it will be with Ottawa.


12. Andre Petersson


HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Olofstrom, Sweden - 5'9", 169 lbs - DOB 1990
Drafted 4th round, 109th overall 2008

2008-09 HV71 Jrs. J20 24GP 15G 20A 35P 26PIM
2008-09 HV71 SEL 8GP 0G 0A 0P 0PIM

Petersson needs three or four years on the Peter Regin development trajectory. Talented but flawed, most of all Petersson will need to upgrade his skating, particularly his balance, which would be best achieved with regular time in the Swedish Elite League.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (11) It'll be interesting to see how he adjusts to playing in the upper league in Sweden. Certainly some skill there, but that's not the reason why he fell in the draft.
Zamboner: (9) Top 6 forward or BUST - The Swedish Louie Caporusso. Great offensive instincts, hands, and shot. For his small size, he should be a much better skater. May get a full-time spot in the SEL next year. Needs to work on strength and speed.
armani: (12)
Indrew: (14)
Krazy Tea: (10) Offensive winger, ton of potential, knocks are that he doesn't play hard every day. Dominated at junior will have to see how he plays against men, so far just one point in 10 games. It's kind of hard to picture him taking the next step to the NHL but he has the skill to get here if can maintain his commitment levels to the game.
Theo Huxtable: (11)
moz: (12) Absolutely impressive offensively in the World Juniors, however the knocks against him are numerous and justified. His small size is the biggest concern, though not a roadblock if he wants it bad enough. I don't know that he'll ever make it to the NHL, due to factors independent of his skill, but the first step is being competitive in the SEL, something he has yet to do.


13. Cody Bass


HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Owen Sound, ON - 6'1", 213 lbs - DOB 1987
Drafted 4th round, 95th overall 2005

2008-09 Binghamton Senators AHL 18GP 1G 1A 2P 41PIM
2008-09 Ottawa Senators NHL 12GP 0G 0A 0P 15PIM

Bass is a unique prospect, in that there is near-consensus that he will be an NHL player, but also that he lacks the scoring ability to even be a true third liner. Injuries are now a concern as well.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (12) I don't think he'll be anything more than 4th liner, but a sure-fire NHL'er. Worried about these injury issues.
Zamboner: (12)
armani: (15)
Indrew: (21+) I think Cody Bass is too injury-prone to make it, sadly.
Krazy Tea: (12) Injury prone but can be a menacing player to play against when healthy. 3/4 liner.
Theo Huxtable: (12)
moz: (9) I definitely feel that Cody Bass can be a permanent NHL from this point onward, whether it's with Ottawa or elsewhere. He will rise above a 4th/borderline 3rd role, but he can provide some sandpaper and energy that every team needs. He will never be an offensive contributor. As others mentioned, injuries are a concern, and may lead to him being superceded in the depth chart. I have him ranked much higher than others, but only because he is clearly destined to have a respectable NHL career. "Top 6 or bust" prospects who lean more toward the bust rank lower.


14. Kaspars Daugavins


HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Riga, Latvia - 5'11", 181 lbs - DOB 1988
Drafted 3rd round, 91st overall 2006


2008-09 Binghamton Senators AHL 23GP 2G 1A 3P 9PIM
2008-09 St. Michael's Majors OHL 18GP 3G 9A 12P 18PIM

Where other prospects have broken out this year, Daugavins took a step back. The talent remains there but better commitment and conditioning are necessary. The Latvian also needs to figure out what kind of prospect he wants to be, a role player and sparkplug or a scorer, and adjust accordingly.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (13) 4th best prospect my ass. Put him here because he's probably more talented than the rest.
Zamboner: (14)
armani: (11)
Indrew: (13)
Krazy Tea: (13) Significantly regressed this year, going back to the OHL was not really at good thing at Daugavins' age. Barring any miracles I would essentially say that his chance at the NHL is over.
Theo Huxtable: (20)
moz: (15) The opening write-up puts it best: there are serious questions about commitment and conditioning. While I had hope in his leadership from his accomplishments with a poor team in St. Michaels and as a youngster with Latvia, he seems unable to stand out amongst more talented teammates. He's at a sink or swim juncture in his career and while there is hope he can put it together, he quickly is being surpassed by other prospects.


15. Colin Greening


HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - St. John's, NF - 6'2", 210 lbs - DOB 1986
Drafted 7th round, 206th overall 2005


2008-09 Cornell University NCAA 23GP 7G 12A 19P 8PIM

In this day and age, being drafted out of Upper Canada College as Greening was is even less common than from Denmark. Greening has developed nicely, and now is a legitimate prospect. He will be 23 next month and with his size and strength can play AHL hockey now, but returning for a senior year would not be a waste either.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (15) I think he may have more NHL potential than most, as I appear to have him higher than most everyone else. He's huge, is a leader on his team, and can score goals. Hope he gets to Bingo in the near future.
Zamboner: (18)
armani: (21+)
Indrew: (18)
Krazy Tea: (17)
Theo Huxtable: (14)


16. Derek Grant


HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Abbotsford, BC - 6'3", 190 lbs - DOB 1990
Drafted 4th round, 119th overall 2008

2008-09 Langley Chiefs BCHL 31GP 24G 31A 55P 22PIM

Grant is likely the furthest away from the NHL of any player on this list. He has yet to play above Junior A, and has nothing left to prove there. Just how good a scorer, or prospect in general, he is remains an unanswerable question at this point.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (20) I guess we'll see what he can do in College, but he's dominating the BCHL like he should be.
Zamboner: (11)
armani: (16)
Indrew: (11)
Krazy Tea: (15) Did pretty decent in the BCHL until his recent injury, seems to be a little injury prone to me. Proved to be a better prospect than I thought but it will be good to see how his game carries over into the NCAA. Not holding my breath on this one but there is some hope that he can be a decent prospect.
Theo Huxtable: (13)
moz: (14) As SensGuy points out, Grant's dominance of the BCHL is more of an expectation than an achievement - check out the statistics of previous talented players to roll through that league like Kyle Turris or Travis Zajac. His offensive prowess against relatively weak competition is evident, but real questions will be answered if he can translate his offensive game against college or professional opponents. Most important will be whether he can add the defensive and physical elements to his game which will make an NHL career possible.


17. Erik Condra


HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Trenton, MI - 6'0", 202 lbs - DOB 1986
Drafted 7th round, 211th overall 2006

2008-09 Notre Dame NCAA 29GP 8G 16A 24P 30PIM

Nobody doubts Condra’s intelligence or character. He is one of the most respected captains in the NCAA, and is a pre-med student to boot. An ACL injury last year is likely to blame for a disappointing senior year, but he has role player upside.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (16) His all around game is real good. Shouldn't have much issues adjusting to the AHL, but don't see a whole lot beyond that.
Zamboner: (16)
armani: (17)
Indrew: (16)
Krazy Tea: (14) Put up decent numbers in the NCAA, could be a solid AHL player, don't see him in the NHL.
Theo Huxtable: (15)


18. Emil Sandin


HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Upsaala, Sweden - 5'10", 178 lbs - DOB 1988
Drafted 7th round, 199th overall 2008

2008-09 Brynas IF Gavle SEL 45GP 5G 9A 14P 6PIM

Sandin is kind of a throwback pick to the days when the Senators plucked overagers like Daniel Alfredsson, Andreas Dackell and Magnus Arvedson out of Sweden. He has played well this year in the Swedish Elite League and his style projects well to the NHL game.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (21+)
Zamboner: (17)
armani: (18)
Indrew: (17)
Krazy Tea: (16) Able to play decent hockey with Brynas IF in Sweden, putting up some decent numbers. Anders Forsberg, the Senators Swedish Amateur Scout thinks he needs one more year before he can play in the NHL. He is a decent set up man, won most points and assists in the north division in the J20 as well as the highest +/-.
Theo Huxtable: (19)
moz: (19) Don't expect to see Sandin ever make the transition to the NHL. He appears to have decent skills but lacks size and strength - hopefully he'll enjoy a healthy career in the SEL, but don't expect much more out of this overager.


19. Shawn Weller


HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Glen Falls, NY - 6'2", 205 lbs - DOB 1986
Drafted 3rd round, 77th overall 2004

2008-09 Binghamton Senators AHL 44GP 2G 5A 7P 24PIM
2008-09 Elmira Jackals ECHL 4GP 1G 1A 2P 2PIM

This has been a disappointing year for Weller. He has all the tools to be a good third liner, good size, physical enthusiasm, strong skating ability and some offensive potential, but the window of opportunity will slam shut if he does not get his game together soon.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (18) Seems to have taken a step back, which is unfortunate.
Zamboner: (21+)
armani: (19)
Indrew: (21+)
Krazy Tea: (19)
Theo Huxtable: (21+)


20. Ruslan Bashkirov


HockeyDB Player Page

Forward - Moscow, Russia - 5'11", 186 lbs - DOB 1989
Drafted 2nd round, 60th overall 2007


2008-09 Tolyatti Lada KHL 2GP 0G 0A 0P 2PIM
(statistics incomplete)

Where in the world is Ruslan Bashkirov? The answer is not where he should be. Literally, that means not in the CHL, and abstractly that means not developing. To write off a second round pick 20 months later feels a bit odd though, so he gets the final spot on this list for no reason other than that.

Other Comments: (Prospect Ranking)
SensGuy: (21+)
Zamboner: (21+)
armani: (20)
Indrew: (21+)
Krazy Tea: (20)
Theo Huxtable: (21+)
moz: (16) Bashkirov will likely never see NHL time due to poor career choices, not lack of skill or ability. He is a gifted scorer who drives to the net with surprising abandon and showed consistent effort even when a game is out of reach. Unfortunately, his commitment to his twin brother appears to outweigh his commitment to a North American hockey career. While he is not entirely a lost cause, evidenced by his appearance at the most recent Senators development cause, playing in a third tier Russian league is of no help to him nor the Senators. He could be a recovered prospect someday, but don't bank on it.



Honourable Mentions:

Ben Blood
SensGuy: (17) Not even playing at UND most nights.
Zamboner: (15)
Indrew: (15)


Vitaly Anikeyenko
Theo Huxtable: (16)


Kirill Lyamin
Theo Huxtable: (17)


Eric Gryba
SensGuy: (19) - Haven't seen him once, just put him here.
Zamboner: (19)
Indrew: (19)